← Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV)
SlimesTier 1
at Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV)
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 17.1% | 6 | 5-0-1 | 91.7% | 75.0% | 64.6% | +7.8 |
| Fire Exia | 12.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 35.7% | -10.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Allies | 4.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.9% | +8.6 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.4% | -8.2 |
| Fire Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.7% | +25.2 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -18.0 |
| Water Arisanna | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blissful Calling | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slime King | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |