← Hobby Lords Lower Hutt AMB Regionals
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Hobby Lords Lower Hutt AMB Regionals
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.1%
avg ELO +5.4 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254
· median 1254
· range 1254–1254
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
991
Q1 1225
Q3 1401
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Water Allies | 12.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.9% | -9.7 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
