← Hobby Lords Lower Hutt AMB Regionals
Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at Hobby Lords Lower Hutt AMB Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.2% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 57.1% | +4.1 |
| Water Allies | 12.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.1% | -7.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.2% | +5.9 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.2% | +5.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.1% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Water Polkhawk | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Diablerie | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blessed Clergy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |