← GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)
decks
4
(7.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
25
12-11-2
overall winrate
52.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
52.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1367
· median 1365
· range 1305–1432
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1278
Q3 1436
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.1% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 52.9% | +1.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 14.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 51.9% | +1.2 |
| Wind Allies | 8.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 42.0% | -6.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Water Allies | 7.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 53.2% | +2.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -2.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Tristan | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.7% | -3.1 |
