← GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)
Fire Umbra TristanTier 3
at GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)
decks
1
(1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.9%
avg ELO -4.1 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1510
· median 1510
· range 1510–1510
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1278
Q3 1436
1689
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 14.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Tristan decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
