← GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)

SlimesTier 2

at GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)

decks
12 (21.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
59 22-24-13
overall winrate
48.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9% avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
49.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1381 · median 1406 · range 1094–1689 (12 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094 Q1 1278 Q3 1436 1689
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Razorgale 14.0% 6 4-1-1 75.0% 65.0% 58.0% +4.3
Wind Allies 8.8% 7 2-3-2 42.9% 45.5% 48.4% -0.8
Wind Shadowstrike 8.8% 8 4-2-2 62.5% 58.3% 51.5% +0.7
Fire Crux Mage 7.0% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 47.1% -1.6
Water Allies 7.0% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 37.0% -9.7
Water Ravishing Mill 7.0% 9 2-3-4 44.4% 46.2% 46.3% -1.7
Fire Aggro 5.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.8% +2.7
Fire Slimes 3.5% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 43.5% -4.9
Wind Astra Cleric 3.5% 5 2-2-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.4% -0.9
Fire Exia 1.8% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.7% -1.0
Fire Umbra Tristan 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.3% +5.4
Water Penguin Mill 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.8% -10.0
Water Tera Kongming 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.5% -8.8
Water Tera Mage 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.5% +10.5
Wind Exia 1.8% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 51.6% +1.6
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.1% +6.5
Wind Slimes 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.6% -5.5
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (3 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 9 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 9 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Slime King +1.00 1 0 0
Kind Beastcaller +1.00 1 0 0
Slime's Blessing -1.00 0 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Blast +1.00 1 0 0
Slime Eruption -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/14409/archetypes/Slimes