← GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at GA Online Regional Championship (AMB)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.1% | 8 | 2-4-2 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 48.5% | -0.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 14.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 8.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Water Allies | 7.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.4% | -3.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Tristan | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Shadowstrike, Mastermind Scheme, Reclaim. Losers more often ran: Penumbral Waltz.
Show all 43 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadowstrike | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Imperial Spy | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Sharpen Blade | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grim Foreboding | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Betraying Blade | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |