Fire Crux MageTier 1
at LKH Store Championship
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-3-3
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.8%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302
· median 1302
· range 1177–1428
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
956
Q1 1192
Q3 1402
1498
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 14.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +1.4 |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.0% | +3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
