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Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at LKH Store Championship

decks
3 (11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16 11-1-4
overall winrate
81.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.7% avg ELO +5.9 per match
expected value
62.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1477 · median 1469 · range 1465–1498 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
956 Q1 1192 Q3 1402 1498
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 14.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.2% +5.2
Wind Allies 14.8% 4 4-0-0 100.0% 75.0% 68.9% +12.1
Water Ravishing Mill 11.1% 4 2-0-2 75.0% 62.5% 56.5% +4.2
Fire Crux Mage 7.4% 4 1-1-2 50.0% 50.0% 47.8% -1.4
Water Allies 7.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.4% +16.7
Water Penguin Mill 7.4% 0
Fire Aggro 3.7% 0
Fire Arcane 3.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.7% 0
Fire Slimes 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.1% +8.2
Fire Tera Mage 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.1% +4.9
Water Exia 3.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 3.7% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Spellshield: Astra +1.00 1 0 0
Dawn's Reversal +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Necklace of Foresight -1.00 0 1 0
Astarte, Celestial Dawn -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit of Serene Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Three Visits -1.00 0 1 0
Indolent Leisure -1.00 0 1 0
Horticounter -1.00 0 1 0
Lunar Seer +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/14460/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric