← HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)
Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.7%
avg ELO -10.4 per match
expected value
35.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1198
· median 1198
· range 1187–1208
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1295
Q3 1481
1668
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.4% | -14.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
