← HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)
decks
3
(10.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-4-2
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.0%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1360
· median 1287
· range 1125–1668
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1295
Q3 1481
1668
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 33.8% | -12.1 |
| Water Allies | 10.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
