← HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)

SlimesTier 1

at HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)

decks
7 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28 14-10-4
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.7% avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
54.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1394 · median 1362 · range 1267–1501 (7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125 Q1 1295 Q3 1481 1668
14% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 14% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 10.7% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 66.2% +12.1
Water Allies 10.7% 6 2-3-1 41.7% 45.0% 45.2% -2.6
Fire Crux Hybrid 7.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.6% +14.0
Fire Slimes 7.1% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 55.2% +3.3
Wind Allies 7.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.3% -1.7
Wind Shadowstrike 7.1% 3 0-1-2 33.3% 42.9% 42.4% -5.6
Fire Aggro 3.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.4% -1.6
Fire Arcane 3.6% 0
Fire Exia 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.6% +10.6
Water Crux Mage 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.1% +9.7
Water Penguin Mill 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.4
Water Ravishing Mill 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.1% -11.1
Water Umbra Diana 3.6% 0
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Kind Beastcaller -1.00 0 2 0
Mystic Purifier -0.50 0 1 0
Slime King +0.50 1 0 0
Slime's Blessing -0.50 0 1 1
Lustrous Slime +0.50 1 0 1
Turbo Charge +0.50 1 0 0
Reprogram -0.50 0 1 0
Slime Eruption +0.50 1 0 1
Quicksilver Grail +0.50 1 0 1
Nullifying Mirror +0.50 1 0 0
Invective Instruction -0.50 0 1 0
Beastbond Ears -0.50 0 1 1
Entrancing Filigree +0.50 1 0 0
Baby Blue Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Fast Cure -0.50 0 1 0
Seeking Shot +0.50 1 0 0
Resolute Stand +0.00 1 1 0
Blissful Calling +0.00 1 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/15025/archetypes/Slimes