← HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at HP Wolves Den Store Championship! (AMB Season)
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-4-3
overall winrate
45.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.7%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
51.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1360
· median 1360
· range 1234–1487
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1295
Q3 1481
1668
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.6% | +5.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -20.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
