EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 淡水 貓腳印 AMB 店家冠軍賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 3 | 10.0% | 13 | 80.8% | 64.1% | 61.6% | 57.1% | 1488 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Slimes | 7 | 23.3% | 33 | 60.6% | 52.8% | 55.1% | 51.7% | 1314 | — |
| 3 | Water Ravishing Mill | 4 | 13.3% | 17 | 52.9% | 52.0% | 49.1% | 49.9% | 1368 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 6.7% | 10 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 48.0% | 48.0% | 1287 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 10.0% | 15 | 43.3% | 50.0% | 47.0% | 49.6% | 1377 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 10.0% | 11 | 40.9% | 53.2% | 46.8% | 52.6% | 1301 | — |
| 7 | Wind Razorgale | 4 | 13.3% | 15 | 46.7% | 49.7% | 46.1% | 47.4% | 1384 | — |
| 8 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 53.6% | 44.6% | 50.4% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.3% | 4 | 12.5% | 24.6% | 40.9% | 37.7% | 1471 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Astra Cleric | 2 | 6.7% | 9 | 11.1% | 31.4% | 39.7% | 42.4% | 1116 | ↓ low |