← FTG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at FTG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship
decks
3
(7.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
7-4-4
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.7%
avg ELO +3.1 per match
expected value
53.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1292
· median 1272
· range 1250–1352
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1218
Q3 1385
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.0% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 60.0% | +7.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.9% | -11.6 |
| Slimes | 7.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 62.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Water Arcane Rai | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Silvie | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Wind Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
