FTG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	6	14.0%	16-10-6	59.4%	54.3%	51.6%	50.2%	1356	—
2		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	6	14.0%	9-11-5	46.0%	50.6%	48.4%	50.0%	1286	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	4	9.3%	11-10-1	52.3%	51.7%	50.5%	50.8%	1293	—
4		Slimes	Tier 1	3	7.0%	8-6-2	56.2%	57.3%	52.7%	53.7%	1228	↓ low
5		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	3	7.0%	7-6-0	53.8%	56.3%	47.5%	49.0%	1289	—
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	7.0%	7-4-4	60.0%	57.7%	53.8%	53.1%	1292	—
7		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	4.7%	2-7-2	27.3%	41.6%	44.8%	47.4%	1131	↓ low
8		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	4.7%	5-5-2	50.0%	35.1%	50.6%	44.9%	1445	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	37.0%	46.2%	45.6%	1329	—
10		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.5%	44.3%	47.8%	1389	↑ top
11		Fire Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-1-3	37.5%	44.5%	47.7%	48.0%	1149	↓ low
12		Water Arcane Rai	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	31.1%	40.0%	38.7%	1201	↓ low
13		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-1-4	50.0%	50.2%	51.6%	51.2%	1282	—
14		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-1	37.5%	41.7%	48.7%	47.3%	1349	—
15		Water Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-1-1	75.0%	63.2%	54.2%	53.3%	1536	↑ top
16		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-1-1	75.0%	53.5%	49.2%	46.1%	1311	—
17		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-2	25.0%	42.6%	44.7%	46.6%	1355	—
18		Water Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.7%	42.2%	46.3%	1153	↓ low
19		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-2-0	66.7%	46.1%	56.0%	50.2%	1453	↑ top
20		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-2-0	66.7%	64.2%	49.3%	53.1%	1522	↑ top
21		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.9%	48.6%	48.6%	1445	↑ top
22		Wind Jin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-5-0	16.7%	40.2%	44.0%	48.7%	989	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Penguin Mill 6 decks · 14.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 6 decks · 14.0%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 9.3%
• Slimes 3 decks · 7.0%
• Wind Razorgale 3 decks · 7.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 7.0%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 4.7%
• Water Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Arcane Rai 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Silvie 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Tonoris 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Jin 1 deck · 2.3%