← Card Merchant Westcity Grand Archive Auckland Regionals
SlimesTier 1
at Card Merchant Westcity Grand Archive Auckland Regionals
decks
4
(9.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
10-8-2
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1350
· median 1385
· range 1168–1463
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1063
Q1 1263
Q3 1418
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 14.0% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 56.8% | +3.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.5% | -13.1 |
| Water Allies | 9.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.7% | +8.4 |
| Water Nico | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
