← Card Merchant Westcity Grand Archive Auckland Regionals
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Card Merchant Westcity Grand Archive Auckland Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.6% | -8.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 14.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 45.3% | -3.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.6% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 61.2% | +6.5 |
| Slimes | 9.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.5% | +13.1 |
| Water Allies | 9.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 60.8% | +8.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.2% | -12.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Water Nico | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.4% | -7.3 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.7% | -8.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Yunzhou Cavalry | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Imperial Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unrelenting Warden | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Skirting Step | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |