Wind AlliesTier 2
at 1/5 Fayble Online Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.2% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 56.0% | +3.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.1% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 41.4% | -5.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.6% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.0% | -1.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.1% | -2.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.6% | +0.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.1% | +5.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Water Allies | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 48.6% | -1.1 |
| Water Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Wind Kongming | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 40 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 40 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unrelenting Warden | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prototype Pistol | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |