Magitek Games NorCal Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 1	17	29.8%	35-30-5	53.6%	53.6%	53.1%	52.9%	1271	—
2		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	5	8.8%	14-11-3	55.4%	50.2%	49.7%	47.7%	1400	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	7.0%	11-8-3	56.8%	56.6%	52.3%	51.7%	1331	—
4		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	7.0%	13-8-1	61.4%	60.8%	51.8%	52.6%	1400	↑ top
5		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	3	5.3%	4-11-1	28.1%	36.9%	40.1%	43.0%	1156	↓ low
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	5.3%	9-7-2	55.6%	54.1%	55.7%	54.8%	1239	↓ low
7		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	3	5.3%	7-9-0	43.8%	55.1%	40.4%	45.9%	1149	↓ low
8		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	3.5%	6-5-1	54.2%	54.7%	50.0%	51.4%	1539	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	3.5%	7-5-0	58.3%	49.0%	57.1%	52.7%	1334	—
10		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	3.5%	4-8-0	33.3%	34.4%	40.7%	39.8%	1390	↑ top
11		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	58.3%	54.8%	55.8%	1271	—
12		Fire Neos Tonoris	Tier 3	1	1.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.0%	47.5%	49.2%	1336	—
13		Fire Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.8%	2-5-0	28.6%	40.7%	39.6%	43.2%	1199	↓ low
14		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	1.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	39.5%	38.9%	38.8%	1233	↓ low
15		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-1-1	70.0%	58.1%	57.4%	55.7%	1300	—
16		Water Vanitas	Tier 3	1	1.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.2%	47.6%	50.4%	1193	↓ low
17		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	1.8%	6-1-0	85.7%	75.5%	49.3%	51.5%	1280	—
18		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.8%	4-0-2	83.3%	62.4%	65.7%	60.3%	1368	—
19		Wind Dawn of Ashes	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-5-0	16.7%	34.5%	43.2%	45.2%	1484	↑ top
20		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	35.0%	50.4%	42.8%	1678	↑ top
21		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	1.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.1%	50.4%	51.6%	1100	↓ low
22		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-5-0	0.0%	22.4%	40.0%	40.2%	1070	↓ low
23		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	35.9%	43.8%	38.9%	1474	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 17 decks · 29.8%
• Fire Arcane 5 decks · 8.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 7.0%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 7.0%
• Fire Erupting 3 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 3 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 3.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 3.5%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 3.5%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Vanitas 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.8%