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Fire Tera SilvieTier 3

at Magitek Games NorCal Regionals

decks
1 (1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.7% avg ELO -4.7 per match
expected value
39.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1199 · median 1199 · range 1199–1199 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1008 Q1 1188 Q3 1413 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 29.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 38.9% -10.6
Fire Arcane 8.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.6
Fire Crux Mage 7.0% 0
Water Allies 7.0% 0
Fire Erupting 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.6% -16.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.7% +15.6
Fire Umbra Ranger 5.3% 0
Fire Aggro 3.5% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.5% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 3.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.9
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.6% -16.6
Fire Neos Tonoris 1.8% 0
Water Neos 1.8% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 1.8% 0
Water Vanitas 1.8% 0
Wind Arcane 1.8% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.8% 0
Wind Dawn of Ashes 1.8% 0
Wind Diana 1.8% 0
Wind Neos 1.8% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 1.8% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 1.8% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Tera Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/1699/archetypes/Fire Tera Silvie