SlimesTier 1
at FORTRESS AMB REGIONALS
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.0% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 59.1% | +4.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.0% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 39.1% | -5.2 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 56.2% | +3.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.0% | 9 | 4-3-2 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 54.1% | +1.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.7% | -1.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +2.6 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +8.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.3% | +6.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.4 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -3.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Neos | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
Decklists · 13 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Unbroken Mustang, Mystic Purifier, Scavenging Raccoon. Losers more often ran: Gaia's Songbird.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kraal, Stonescale Tyrant | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Gather Slimes | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdant Scepter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |