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Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at FORTRESS AMB REGIONALS

decks
13 (13.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
69 39-23-7
overall winrate
61.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0% avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
57.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1452 · median 1420 · range 1164–1685 (13 pilots with an ELO rating)
989 Q1 1186 Q3 1422 1685
46% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 8% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 13.0% 7 4-3-0 57.1% 54.5% 40.9% -4.6
Fire Aggro 12.0% 8 6-2-0 75.0% 66.7% 57.0% +3.3
Wind Allies 10.0% 8 6-1-1 81.2% 70.8% 58.5% +4.1
Fire Crux Mage 8.0% 8 4-3-1 56.2% 54.2% 44.8% -2.5
Water Ravishing Mill 8.0% 10 2-5-3 35.0% 39.3% 38.1% -5.3
Water Penguin Mill 7.0% 13 7-5-1 57.7% 55.9% 53.7% +1.6
Wind Shadowstrike 5.0% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 61.7% +8.7
Water Allies 4.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.3% +10.0
Fire Slimes 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.3% -17.2
Wind Razorgale 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.1
Fire Exia 2.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.5% +2.4
Fire Polkhawk 1.0% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 1.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 42.0% -7.7
Water Astra Cleric 1.0% 0
Water Crux Mage 1.0% 0
Water Slimes 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.3% +16.5
Water Umbra Ranger 1.0% 0
Wind Crux Mage 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.5% +8.7
Wind Crux Merlin 1.0% 0
Wind Lorraine 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.2% +8.4
Wind Neos 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.5
Wind Slimes 1.0% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 1.0% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.4% -9.0
Decklists · 13 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Mnemonic Charm +1.00 2 0 0
Spellshield: Astra +1.00 2 0 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 2 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 2 0 0
Scry the Stars -1.00 0 2 0
Harvest Herbs -1.00 0 2 0
Scry the Skies -1.00 0 2 0
Meteor Strike +1.00 2 0 0
Nascent Barrier +1.00 2 0 0
Astral Seal +0.50 1 0 1
Stifling Trap -0.50 0 1 1
Necklace of Foresight -0.50 0 1 1
Turbo Charge -0.50 0 1 0
Prima Materia -0.50 0 1 1
Fertile Grounds +0.50 1 0 1
Zephyr +0.50 1 0 0
Potion of Healing -0.50 0 1 1
Scatter Essence +0.50 1 0 1
Indolent Leisure +0.50 1 0 1
Cometfall -0.50 0 1 1
Horticounter -0.50 0 1 1
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.50 1 0 0
Astarte, Celestial Dawn +0.50 1 0 0
Chalice of Blood +0.50 1 0 0
Spirit of Serene Wind +0.50 1 0 0
Dawn's Reversal +0.00 1 1 0
Three Visits +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/17571/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric