← Card Merchant Westcity Regionals
Water Tera KongmingTier 2
at Card Merchant Westcity Regionals
decks
1
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.0%
avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
45.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1128
· median 1128
· range 1128–1128
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1049
Q1 1242
Q3 1406
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.7% | -7.0 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.2 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
