← Card Merchant Westcity Regionals
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Card Merchant Westcity Regionals
decks
2
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
8-1-4
overall winrate
76.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.1%
avg ELO +6.7 per match
expected value
57.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1340
· median 1340
· range 1271–1409
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1049
Q1 1242
Q3 1406
1599
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +3.6 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.3% | +4.2 |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.3% | +3.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
