← Card Merchant Westcity Regionals
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Card Merchant Westcity Regionals
decks
5
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
33
13-19-1
overall winrate
40.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.9%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1300
· median 1381
· range 1049–1405
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1049
Q1 1242
Q3 1406
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 22.5% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 65.6% | +8.3 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 37.4% | -7.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 39.8% | -6.5 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 42.0% | -5.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.5% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 51.9% | +1.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.2% | -2.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.1% | -10.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
