← Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 14.0% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 53.2% | +1.5 |
| Wind Allies | 14.0% | 13 | 7-3-3 | 65.4% | 61.8% | 57.3% | +3.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.2% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 55.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.8% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 57.9% | +5.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 40.1% | -7.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 47.5% | -1.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.3% | -1.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.2% | +6.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 9 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 9 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disintegrate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |