← Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
Water Crux LorraineTier 3
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
decks
1
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
1-1-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.4%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
45.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1186
· median 1186
· range 1186–1186
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1219
Q3 1426
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 14.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 14.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
