← Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 14.0% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 62.1% | +7.7 |
| Wind Allies | 14.0% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 57.3% | +4.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.2% | 12 | 4-7-1 | 37.5% | 40.6% | 44.4% | -2.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 42.1% | -5.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.0% | 8 | 1-5-2 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 41.6% | -4.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 46.0% | -2.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.8% | +3.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Losers more often ran: Focused Flames, Planted Explosive, Resolute Stand.
No cards correlated with winning.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focused Flames | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Song of Frost | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Caliburn of Silencing | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -0.20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Orb of Glitter | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Fracturize | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Oasis Trading Post | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |