Wind AlliesTier 1
at HVN Store Championship
decks
3
(10.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
9-7-1
overall winrate
55.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.8%
avg ELO +4.3 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1262
· median 1277
· range 1185–1324
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1158
Q3 1325
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 17.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +2.6 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 44.2% | -3.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.4 |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 60.4% | +10.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
