Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at HVN Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 10.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.9% | -2.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.0% | +10.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Veiling Breeze, Reclaim, Aesan Protector.
No cards correlated with losing.
Show all 38 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Revelations | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Progress | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Journey's Beginning | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Craggy Fatestone | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Primeval Ritual | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harbinger of Lightning | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |