Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at HVN Store Championship
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-4-1
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1279
· median 1279
· range 1231–1327
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1158
Q3 1325
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 17.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 41.8% | -6.1 |
| Wind Allies | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.0% | -13.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
