Weatherlight Grand Archive HVN Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	10	15.4%	35-22-10	59.7%	61.9%	52.9%	54.9%	1327	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	9	13.8%	29-22-3	56.5%	52.5%	52.1%	50.8%	1266	—
3		Water Genbu	Tier 1	7	10.8%	21-21-6	50.0%	46.4%	48.1%	46.7%	1365	↑ top
4		Wind Allies	Tier 1	5	7.7%	17-11-5	59.1%	56.8%	56.0%	55.4%	1356	—
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	6.2%	14-10-5	56.9%	52.5%	47.5%	47.3%	1364	↑ top
6		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 1	4	6.2%	12-11-5	51.8%	48.4%	50.0%	49.2%	1394	↑ top
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	3	4.6%	12-9-1	56.8%	56.4%	51.4%	52.2%	1317	—
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	3	4.6%	8-11-4	43.5%	40.3%	47.7%	46.7%	1291	—
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	4.6%	5-9-4	38.9%	37.1%	49.3%	47.3%	1380	↑ top
10		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	3	4.6%	2-7-4	30.8%	36.4%	42.1%	43.3%	1193	↓ low
11		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	3.1%	5-2-3	65.0%	57.9%	54.5%	53.2%	1293	—
12		Fire Byakko	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-5-0	28.6%	32.5%	43.8%	41.7%	1466	↑ top
13		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-5-0	28.6%	32.5%	43.8%	41.7%	1466	↑ top
14		Fire Exia	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-4-1	43.8%	56.4%	44.7%	49.6%	1218	↓ low
15		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-4-2	16.7%	40.8%	40.2%	45.3%	1267	—
16		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-7-0	12.5%	24.0%	40.6%	41.1%	1232	↓ low
17		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.5%	4-5-0	44.4%	60.5%	42.2%	48.2%	1166	↓ low
18		Fire Razorgale	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-4-0	42.9%	39.0%	45.0%	44.1%	1469	↑ top
19		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	1.5%	7-1-1	83.3%	71.8%	54.1%	54.1%	1420	↑ top
20		Water Diana	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-4-0	42.9%	52.1%	43.0%	46.3%	1160	↓ low
21		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	40.9%	45.0%	45.2%	1161	↓ low
22		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-4-0	0.0%	33.6%	40.0%	43.8%	1265	—
23		Wind Byakko	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-6-0	25.0%	38.2%	40.7%	42.9%	1232	↓ low
24		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.5%	5-3-0	62.5%	60.0%	52.6%	54.0%	1201	↓ low
25		Wind Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	42.2%	40.0%	47.0%	956	↓ low
26		Wind Overlord	Tier 2	1	1.5%	3-3-1	50.0%	55.2%	50.7%	52.1%	1301	—
27		Wind Razorgale	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-4-1	25.0%	44.2%	42.4%	46.0%	1038	↓ low
28		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-1-2	71.4%	57.1%	56.4%	54.2%	1409	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 10 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Aggro 9 decks · 13.8%
• Water Genbu 7 decks · 10.8%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Luxem Zander 4 decks · 6.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 4.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 4.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 4.6%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 3 decks · 4.6%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Byakko 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Razorgale 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Diana 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 1.5%