← Weatherlight Grand Archive HVN Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Weatherlight Grand Archive HVN Store Championship
decks
4
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
29
14-10-5
overall winrate
56.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.5%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1364
· median 1370
· range 1194–1522
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
956
Q1 1212
Q3 1418
1571
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 36.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Water Genbu | 10.8% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 56.9% | +3.7 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +1.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Byakko | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.4% | +7.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
