← Weatherlight Grand Archive HVN Store Championship

Wind Luxem ZanderTier 1

at Weatherlight Grand Archive HVN Store Championship

decks
4 (6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28 12-11-5
overall winrate
51.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4% avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1394 · median 1357 · range 1331–1532 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
956 Q1 1212 Q3 1418 1571
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 15.4% 7 4-1-2 71.4% 63.6% 56.1% +3.1
Fire Aggro 13.8% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.9% +1.2
Water Genbu 10.8% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 43.9% -3.9
Wind Allies 7.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 38.4% -11.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.9% +2.8
Water Ravishing Mill 4.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.0% -17.6
Wind Astra Cleric 4.6% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.1
Wind Umbra Ranger 4.6% 0
Water Allies 3.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.8% +1.3
Fire Byakko 1.5% 0
Fire Crux Mage 1.5% 0
Fire Exia 1.5% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 1.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.0% -3.2
Fire Polkhawk 1.5% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 1.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.6% -18.2
Fire Razorgale 1.5% 0
Fire Suzaku 1.5% 0
Water Diana 1.5% 0
Water Neos 1.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.5% +8.8
Water Umbra Diana 1.5% 0
Wind Byakko 1.5% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.5% 0
Wind Lorraine 1.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.7% +2.7
Wind Overlord 1.5% 0
Wind Razorgale 1.5% 0
Wind Seiryuu 1.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.2% +16.3
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Luxem Zander decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Mystic Purifier +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Gleaming Cut -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Reprogram +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester -1.00 0 1 0
Sirocco Operative +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/21991/archetypes/Wind Luxem Zander