← Weatherlight Grand Archive HVN Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Weatherlight Grand Archive HVN Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 6 | 3-1-2 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +3.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +2.6 |
| Water Genbu | 10.8% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 66.0% | +9.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.6% | +11.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.7% | +15.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.2% | +15.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -21.5 |
| Water Diana | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 40 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 40 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bertha, Spry Howitzer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |