Fire Neos TonorisTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/4/2024
decks
1
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
44.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1170
· median 1170
· range 1170–1170
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1200
Q3 1415
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Water Allies | 11.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Water Neos | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
