Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/4/2024

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	6	13.6%	10-4-2	68.8%	51.8%	53.0%	50.5%	1180	↓ low
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	5	11.4%	9-9-1	50.0%	50.1%	50.0%	50.0%	1294	—
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	5	11.4%	9-5-3	61.8%	50.7%	51.8%	50.1%	1365	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	6.8%	6-4-0	60.0%	49.9%	51.9%	49.9%	1448	↑ top
5		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	4.5%	3-3-1	50.0%	50.1%	47.7%	49.8%	1527	↑ top
6		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	4.5%	5-3-0	62.5%	50.0%	54.7%	50.1%	1591	↑ top
7		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	2	4.5%	6-1-1	81.2%	51.6%	60.2%	50.9%	1394	↑ top
8		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.5%	1-5-0	16.7%	47.7%	42.5%	49.1%	1313	—
9		Water Neos	Tier 2	2	4.5%	4-3-0	57.1%	50.1%	49.5%	49.8%	1397	↑ top
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	4.5%	1-6-1	18.8%	48.3%	41.6%	49.4%	1133	↓ low
11		Dawn of Ashes	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.3%	44.4%	49.7%	1241	↓ low
12		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	51.2%	57.8%	50.8%	1237	↓ low
13		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.4%	50.9%	50.0%	1301	—
14		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-1	37.5%	50.0%	42.9%	49.5%	1327	—
15		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.3%	44.5%	49.5%	1208	↓ low
16		Fire Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.7%	44.4%	49.7%	1170	↓ low
17		Norm Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.7%	40.0%	49.2%	1052	↓ low
18		Water Astra Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.7%	40.0%	49.2%	1152	↓ low
19		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	47.3%	40.0%	48.8%	1536	↑ top
20		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.4%	43.9%	49.4%	1219	↓ low
21		Water Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.8%	46.7%	50.0%	1281	—
22		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.3%	5-0-0	100.0%	52.3%	60.0%	50.9%	1548	↑ top
23		Wind Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.9%	46.4%	49.8%	1162	↓ low
24		Wind Vanitas	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-4-0	0.0%	48.5%	40.0%	49.4%	1000	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 6 decks · 13.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 5 decks · 11.4%
• Water Allies 5 decks · 11.4%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 6.8%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Erupting 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 4.5%
• Water Neos 2 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.5%
• Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 2.3%
• Norm Tonoris 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Astra Arisanna 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Tonoris 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Arisanna 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 2.3%