Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 4/4/2024
decks
2
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.7%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1313
· median 1313
· range 1291–1335
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1200
Q3 1415
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Water Allies | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Norm Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
