Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at DeckaDice HVN QLD Regionals
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.0%
avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
55.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1346
· median 1346
· range 1346–1346
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1130
Q3 1319
1617
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
