DeckaDice HVN QLD Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	4	12.5%	12-6-1	65.8%	67.4%	56.2%	57.8%	1281	—
2		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	4	12.5%	10-10-1	50.0%	46.1%	46.9%	46.8%	1262	—
3		Water Fractal	Tier 1	4	12.5%	12-7-3	61.4%	53.0%	53.2%	50.1%	1349	↑ top
4		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	3	9.4%	0-11-1	4.2%	15.8%	39.6%	40.5%	1097	↓ low
5		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	6.2%	6-4-2	58.3%	51.4%	49.4%	47.8%	1380	↑ top
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	6.2%	8-5-0	61.5%	61.5%	54.8%	55.2%	1154	↓ low
7		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.2%	47.3%	49.3%	1100	↓ low
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-2	66.7%	62.0%	55.1%	55.6%	1346	↑ top
9		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	46.9%	46.7%	45.6%	1201	—
10		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	45.2%	49.1%	44.8%	1262	—
11		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	54.6%	53.3%	53.1%	1270	—
12		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	39.4%	39.3%	42.8%	1100	↓ low
13		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	36.8%	40.0%	42.1%	1046	↓ low
14		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	54.6%	50.0%	51.5%	1142	↓ low
15		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.3%	48.3%	49.2%	1152	↓ low
16		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	42.5%	52.3%	49.0%	1362	↑ top
17		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	44.9%	44.3%	48.7%	989	↓ low
18		Wind Cats	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	44.9%	44.3%	48.7%	989	↓ low
19		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	55.5%	54.3%	55.6%	1080	↓ low
20		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	44.9%	44.3%	48.7%	989	↓ low
21		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	6-0-2	87.5%	63.1%	59.4%	55.3%	1617	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 4 decks · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 12.5%
• Water Tera Mage 3 decks · 9.4%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Cats 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.1%