Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at DeckaDice HVN QLD Regionals
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
8-5-0
overall winrate
61.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.5%
avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
54.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1154
· median 1154
· range 1102–1206
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1130
Q3 1319
1617
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Wind Cats | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.1 |
