Water Umbra DianaTier 2
at DeckaDice HVN QLD Regionals
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.6%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1142
· median 1142
· range 1142–1142
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1130
Q3 1319
1617
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.4 |
| Wind Cats | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.4 |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
