Fire SuzakuTier 1
at DeckaDice HVN QLD Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 29.4% | -15.4 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Neos | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.2 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Wind Cats | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.5% | -6.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermilion Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veteran Blazebearer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewing Fowl | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Unrelenting | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Embertail Squirrel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite Fate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Demolition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Embersong | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Broken Promises | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fated Keepsake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Restorative Flame | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lavaplume Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dire Requiem | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Red Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |