CakeTCG HVN Online Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	8	17.8%	20-16-6	54.8%	54.8%	52.3%	52.3%	1373	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	5	11.1%	16-8-2	65.4%	54.0%	56.1%	51.9%	1458	↑ top
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	5	11.1%	9-13-6	42.9%	47.5%	47.8%	49.2%	1336	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	8.9%	7-9-5	45.2%	48.1%	46.2%	47.9%	1316	↓ low
5		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	6.7%	4-7-2	38.5%	47.7%	45.1%	48.7%	1235	↓ low
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	3	6.7%	3-6-4	38.5%	45.7%	44.1%	46.3%	1470	↑ top
7		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	3	6.7%	7-8-3	47.2%	42.9%	49.7%	47.6%	1461	↑ top
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	4.4%	4-4-1	50.0%	45.4%	49.8%	47.8%	1439	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	4.4%	4-7-0	36.4%	50.7%	43.6%	49.1%	1301	↓ low
10		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	4.4%	4-4-0	50.0%	52.5%	47.9%	50.2%	1291	↓ low
11		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	54.6%	43.5%	50.8%	1094	↓ low
12		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-2-0	66.7%	55.5%	54.1%	52.3%	1444	↑ top
13		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-5-0	16.7%	41.4%	39.4%	45.1%	1313	↓ low
14		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.2%	52.5%	51.1%	1366	—
15		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-3-1	41.7%	43.4%	52.5%	49.4%	1632	↑ top
16		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-2	50.0%	49.5%	51.4%	50.6%	1463	↑ top
17		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-1	50.0%	45.5%	53.2%	49.6%	1520	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 8 decks · 17.8%
• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 5 decks · 11.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 8.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 6.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 6.7%
• Wind Luxem Zander 3 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.4%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.2%