Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at EU Nationals 2025
decks
2
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
9-7-0
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.0%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
55.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1358
· median 1358
· range 1277–1439
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1253
Q3 1436
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 75.3% | +18.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.4% | +14.8 |
| Water Genbu | 12.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 63.0% | +9.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.0 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.6% | +23.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.2% | -21.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
