← EU Nationals 2025

Wind AlliesTier 1

at EU Nationals 2025

decks
7 (11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
43 19-17-7
overall winrate
52.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.1% avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
49.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1392 · median 1343 · range 1301–1535 (7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094 Q1 1253 Q3 1436 1584
43% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 20.6% 10 3-4-3 45.0% 46.4% 41.4% -3.9
Wind Shadowstrike 14.3% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 51.3% +0.7
Water Genbu 12.7% 7 2-4-1 35.7% 40.9% 34.0% -8.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 7.9% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 37.7% -9.2
Fire Aggro 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.7% +14.0
Wind Astra Cleric 4.8% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 45.3% -3.5
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.5% +18.4
Wind Luxem Zander 3.2% 6 1-4-1 25.0% 35.0% 25.5% -13.1
Wind Seiryuu 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.2% +14.7
Fire Exia 1.6% 0
Fire Seiryuu 1.6% 0
Fire Slimes 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.3% +18.1
Fire Suzaku 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.5
Fire Tera Diao Chan 1.6% 0
Water Neos 1.6% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 1.6% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 61.8% +8.8
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.6% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 1.6% 0
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Verdigris Decree, Fairy Whispers, Dream Fairy. Losers more often ran: Staggering Strike, Smoke Bombs, Zephyr.

Played more by winners
Verdigris Decree
Winning decks ran 1.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Fairy Whispers
Winning decks ran 2.3 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Dream Fairy
Winning decks ran 3.3 copies on average, losing decks 3.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers
Staggering Strike
Losing decks ran 1.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Smoke Bombs
Losing decks ran 0.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Zephyr
Losing decks ran 1.3 copies on average, winning decks 1.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Show all 57 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 51 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Rose, Eternal Paragon +0.67 2 0 0
Displace +0.67 2 0 0
Windrider Vanguard +0.67 2 0 0
Scatter Essence +0.67 2 0 1
Huaji of Heaven's Rise +0.33 1 0 1
Aesan Protector -0.33 0 1 2
Staggering Strike -0.33 1 2 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa -0.33 0 1 1
Veiling Breeze +0.33 1 0 2
Sword of Seeking -0.33 0 1 1
Rallied Advance -0.33 0 1 1
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.33 1 0 1
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster +0.33 1 0 1
Smoke Bombs -0.33 1 2 0
Windmill Engineer +0.33 1 0 2
Verdigris Decree +0.33 2 1 0
Fairy Whispers +0.33 2 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter +0.33 1 0 1
Nullifying Mirror +0.33 1 0 1
Zephyr -0.33 1 2 0
Dream Fairy +0.33 2 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace -0.33 0 1 2
Liu Bei, Oathkeeper -0.33 0 1 1
Woodland Squirrels -0.33 0 1 0
Favorable Winds -0.33 0 1 0
Drawn Blade -0.33 0 1 0
Incapacitate -0.33 0 1 0
Oath of the Sakura -0.33 0 1 0
Disenchant -0.33 0 1 0
Dilu, Auspicious Charger -0.33 0 1 0
Reconnaissance Scout +0.33 1 0 0
Flash Grenade +0.33 1 0 0
Concealed Marksman -0.33 0 1 0
Unbroken Mustang +0.33 1 0 0
Squallbind Pounce -0.33 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +0.33 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +0.33 1 0 0
Veiled Dash -0.33 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide -0.33 0 1 0
Charged Hunter -0.33 0 1 0
Turbulent Bullet +0.33 1 0 0
Winbless Rangefinder -0.33 0 1 0
Skirting Step +0.33 1 0 0
Reclaim +0.00 1 1 1
Esteemed Knight +0.00 1 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble +0.00 1 1 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +0.00 1 1 0
Stifling Trap +0.00 1 1 1
Shangxiang, Fierce Princess +0.00 1 1 0
Deflecting Edge +0.00 1 1 0
Second Wind +0.00 1 1 0
Trained Hawk +0.00 1 1 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +0.00 1 1 0
Eternal Magistrate +0.00 1 1 1
Ornamental Greatsword +0.00 1 1 0
Poisoned Coating Oil +0.00 1 1 0
Quicksilver Grail +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/24230/archetypes/Wind Allies