Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at EU Nationals 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.6% | 9 | 5-1-3 | 72.2% | 65.4% | 62.1% | +5.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 55.9% | +3.4 |
| Water Genbu | 12.7% | 6 | 1-1-4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -3.2 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 62.3% | +9.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 37.0% | -9.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.1% | -11.4 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 21.8% | -27.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |