Fire SlimesTier 3
at EU Nationals 2025
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-3-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.5%
avg ELO -6.0 per match
expected value
46.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1468
· median 1468
· range 1468–1468
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1253
Q3 1436
1584
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.9% | -22.6 |
| Water Genbu | 12.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
