← Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Grand Archive Regionals-リージョナル- HASUYA
decks
2
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
2-9-0
overall winrate
18.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.5%
avg ELO -8.5 per match
expected value
36.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1200
· median 1200
· range 1091–1309
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1200
Q3 1378
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.6% | -16.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
